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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord — odds movement

Sep 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 342 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 342 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 25 min before kickoff. Feyenoord opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and drifted to 2.41 (+141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): NEC Nijmegen 34% → 35%, draw 23% → 25%, Feyenoord 43% → 40%. The Asian handicap moved from NEC Nijmegen +0.25 to NEC Nijmegen 0. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 22 h 20 min before kickoff: Feyenoord went from 43% to 42% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
NEC Nijmegen2.81 (+181)2.75 (+175)
Draw4.10 (+310)3.92 (+292)
Feyenoord2.22 (+122)2.41 (+141)
Asian handicapNEC Nijmegen +0.25 · 1.88 (-114)NEC Nijmegen 0 · 2.09 (+109)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3.25 · over 2.06 (+106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
19%29%38%48%NEC Nijmegen 35%Draw 25%Feyenoord 40%
Asian handicap · NEC Nijmegen
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.25

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