Sep 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 342 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 342 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 59 h 25 min before kickoff. Feyenoord opened as the favorite at 2.22 (+122) and drifted to 2.41 (+141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): NEC Nijmegen 34% → 35%, draw 23% → 25%, Feyenoord 43% → 40%. The Asian handicap moved from NEC Nijmegen +0.25 to NEC Nijmegen 0. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 22 h 20 min before kickoff: Feyenoord went from 43% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
NEC Nijmegen
2.81 (+181)
2.75 (+175)
Draw
4.10 (+310)
3.92 (+292)
Feyenoord
2.22 (+122)
2.41 (+141)
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen +0.25 · 1.88 (-114)
NEC Nijmegen 0 · 2.09 (+109)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.84 (-119)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · NEC Nijmegen
Total (over/under)
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