Sep 6, 2026 · 2:45 PM UTC · 260 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 260 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 21 h 55 min before kickoff. ADO Den Haag opened as the favorite at 2.14 (+114) and shortened to 1.98 (-102). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): ADO Den Haag 45% → 49%, draw 24% → 24%, Fortuna Sittard 31% → 27%. The Asian handicap moved from ADO Den Haag -0.25 to ADO Den Haag -0.5. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 5 min before kickoff: ADO Den Haag went from 45% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
ADO Den Haag
2.14 (+114)
1.98 (-102)
Draw
3.99 (+299)
3.99 (+299)
Fortuna Sittard
3.11 (+211)
3.59 (+259)
Asian handicap
ADO Den Haag -0.25 · 1.89 (-112)
ADO Den Haag -0.5 · 1.99 (-101)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.92 (-109)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · ADO Den Haag
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.