Sep 16, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Sparta Prague opened as the favorite at 1.61 (-165) and drifted to 1.75 (-133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ararat-Armenia 18% → 20%, draw 23% → 24%, Sparta Prague 59% → 55%. The Asian handicap moved from Ararat-Armenia +1 to Ararat-Armenia +0.75. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Sparta Prague went from 56% to 54% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Ararat-Armenia
5.13 (+413)
4.73 (+373)
Draw
4.21 (+321)
3.94 (+294)
Sparta Prague
1.61 (-165)
1.75 (-133)
Asian handicap
Ararat-Armenia +1 · 1.82 (-122)
Ararat-Armenia +0.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-118)
O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Ararat-Armenia
Total (over/under)
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