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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

Groningen vs FC Twente — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 10:15 AM UTC · 206 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 206 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Twente opened as the favorite at 2.09 (+109) and shortened to 1.93 (-107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Groningen 29% → 26%, draw 25% → 24%, FC Twente 46% → 50%. The Asian handicap moved from Groningen +0.25 to Groningen +0.5. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 60 min before kickoff: FC Twente went from 47% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Groningen3.32 (+232)3.69 (+269)
Draw3.83 (+283)4.05 (+305)
FC Twente2.09 (+109)1.93 (-107)
Asian handicapGroningen +0.25 · 2.06 (+106)Groningen +0.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%43%55%Groningen 26%Draw 24%FC Twente 50%
Asian handicap · Groningen
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).