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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Olympiakos vs Jagiellonia Bialystok — odds movement

Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Olympiakos opened as the favorite at 1.37 (-267) and shortened to 1.33 (-305). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Olympiakos 69% → 73%, draw 20% → 18%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 12% → 10%. The Asian handicap moved from Olympiakos -1.25 to Olympiakos -1.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before kickoff: Olympiakos went from 75% to 73% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Olympiakos1.37 (-267)1.33 (-305)
Draw4.82 (+382)5.38 (+438)
Jagiellonia Bialystok8.16 (+716)10.06 (+906)
Asian handicapOlympiakos -1.25 · 1.83 (-121)Olympiakos -1.5 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-123)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-4%26%57%88%Olympiakos 73%Draw 18%Jagiellonia Bialystok 10%
Asian handicap · Olympiakos
-1.75-1.5-1.25-1.25 → -1.5
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 2.75

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