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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb — odds movement

Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Dinamo Zagreb opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-108) and shortened to 1.85 (-118). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hapoel Beer Sheva 26% → 22%, draw 24% → 25%, Dinamo Zagreb 49% → 52%. The Asian handicap held at Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 17 h 40 min before kickoff: Dinamo Zagreb went from 49% to 51% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hapoel Beer Sheva3.60 (+260)4.33 (+333)
Draw3.93 (+293)3.79 (+279)
Dinamo Zagreb1.93 (-108)1.85 (-118)
Asian handicapHapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 · 1.92 (-109)Hapoel Beer Sheva +0.5 · 2.06 (+106)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-123)O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%58%Hapoel Beer Sheva 22%Draw 25%Dinamo Zagreb 52%
Asian handicap · Hapoel Beer Sheva
+0.5+0.75+0.5 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 2.75

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