Sep 16, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lyon opened as the favorite at 1.99 (-101) and drifted to 2.37 (+137). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Anderlecht 27% → 32%, draw 25% → 27%, Lyon 48% → 41%. The Asian handicap moved from Anderlecht +0.5 to Anderlecht +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 10 h 60 min before kickoff: Lyon went from 42% to 40% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Anderlecht
3.49 (+249)
3.02 (+202)
Draw
3.82 (+282)
3.57 (+257)
Lyon
1.99 (-101)
2.37 (+137)
Asian handicap
Anderlecht +0.5 · 1.86 (-116)
Anderlecht +0.25 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-124)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Anderlecht
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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