Sep 12, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 217 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 217 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. FC Twente opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-420) and drifted to 1.25 (-406). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Twente 76% → 77%, draw 14% → 14%, ADO Den Haag 10% → 9%. The Asian handicap held at FC Twente -2 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.5 to 3.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 40 min before kickoff: FC Twente went from 75% to 73% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
FC Twente
1.24 (-420)
1.25 (-406)
Draw
6.88 (+588)
6.75 (+575)
ADO Den Haag
9.67 (+867)
10.73 (+973)
Asian handicap
FC Twente -2 · 2.03 (+103)
FC Twente -2 · 2.04 (+104)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.83 (-121)
O/U 3.75 · over 2.04 (+104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · FC Twente
Total (over/under)
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