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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Lorient vs Toulouse — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lorient opened as the favorite at 2.70 (+170) and shortened to 2.46 (+146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lorient 36% → 40%, draw 29% → 29%, Toulouse 35% → 32%. The Asian handicap moved from Lorient 0 to Lorient -0.25. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lorient2.70 (+170)2.46 (+146)
Draw3.36 (+236)3.36 (+236)
Toulouse2.74 (+174)3.08 (+208)
Asian handicapLorient 0 · 1.93 (-107)Lorient -0.25 · 2.12 (+112)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%32%37%42%Lorient 40%Draw 29%Toulouse 32%
Asian handicap · Lorient
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).