Lorient vs Toulouse — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lorient opened as the favorite at 2.70 (+170) and shortened to 2.46 (+146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lorient 36% → 40%, draw 29% → 29%, Toulouse 35% → 32%. The Asian handicap moved from Lorient 0 to Lorient -0.25. The total stayed at 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Lorient | 2.70 (+170) | 2.46 (+146) |
| Draw | 3.36 (+236) | 3.36 (+236) |
| Toulouse | 2.74 (+174) | 3.08 (+208) |
| Asian handicap | Lorient 0 · 1.93 (-107) | Lorient -0.25 · 2.12 (+112) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).