Cambuur Leeuwaarden vs NEC Nijmegen — odds movement
Sep 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. NEC Nijmegen opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-191) and drifted to 1.62 (-162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cambuur Leeuwaarden 18% → 19%, draw 20% → 21%, NEC Nijmegen 62% → 60%. The Asian handicap held at Cambuur Leeuwaarden +1 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 13 h 55 min before kickoff: NEC Nijmegen went from 63% to 61% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Cambuur Leeuwaarden
5.20 (+420)
5.00 (+400)
Draw
4.82 (+382)
4.58 (+358)
NEC Nijmegen
1.52 (-191)
1.62 (-162)
Asian handicap
Cambuur Leeuwaarden +1 · 2.04 (+104)
Cambuur Leeuwaarden +1 · 1.90 (-111)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.89 (-113)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-112)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Cambuur Leeuwaarden
Total (over/under)
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