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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Lille vs Troyes — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lille opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-246) and drifted to 1.50 (-199). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lille 68% → 64%, draw 19% → 21%, Troyes 12% → 15%. The Asian handicap held at Lille -1.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 30 minutes before kickoff: Lille went from 66% to 64% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lille1.41 (-246)1.50 (-199)
Draw5.05 (+405)4.71 (+371)
Troyes7.72 (+672)6.38 (+538)
Asian handicapLille -1.25 · 1.93 (-107)Lille -1.25 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.90 (-111)O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
2%28%53%79%Lille 64%Draw 21%Troyes 15%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.25)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).