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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Como vs Parma — odds movement

Sep 14, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Como opened as the favorite at 1.22 (-462) and drifted to 1.23 (-440). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Como 79% → 79%, draw 15% → 15%, Parma 7% → 6%. The Asian handicap held at Como -1.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Como1.22 (-462)1.23 (-440)
Draw6.61 (+561)6.65 (+565)
Parma14.39 (+1339)15.50 (+1450)
Asian handicapComo -1.75 · 1.90 (-111)Como -1.75 · 1.84 (-119)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 3 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%26%59%92%Como 79%Draw 15%Parma 6%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.75)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).