Sep 11, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Rennes opened as the favorite at 2.12 (+112) and shortened to 2.08 (+108). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Rennes 46% → 47%, draw 24% → 25%, Marseille 30% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at Rennes -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 12 h 10 min before kickoff: Rennes went from 49% to 46% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Rennes
2.12 (+112)
2.08 (+108)
Draw
4.00 (+300)
3.85 (+285)
Marseille
3.21 (+221)
3.43 (+243)
Asian handicap
Rennes -0.25 · 1.87 (-115)
Rennes -0.25 · 1.83 (-120)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Rennes
Total (over/under)
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