Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Auxerre opened favored at 2.61 (+161), but by the last snapshot Nice was the favorite at 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Auxerre 37% → 32%, draw 28% → 29%, Nice 35% → 39%. The Asian handicap moved from Auxerre 0 to Auxerre +0.25. The total stayed at 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Auxerre
2.61 (+161)
3.00 (+200)
Draw
3.46 (+246)
3.41 (+241)
Nice
2.77 (+177)
2.49 (+149)
Asian handicap
Auxerre 0 · 1.89 (-112)
Auxerre +0.25 · 1.81 (-124)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Auxerre
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.