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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Auxerre vs Nice — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Auxerre opened favored at 2.61 (+161), but by the last snapshot Nice was the favorite at 2.49 (+149). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Auxerre 37% → 32%, draw 28% → 29%, Nice 35% → 39%. The Asian handicap moved from Auxerre 0 to Auxerre +0.25. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Auxerre2.61 (+161)3.00 (+200)
Draw3.46 (+246)3.41 (+241)
Nice2.77 (+177)2.49 (+149)
Asian handicapAuxerre 0 · 1.89 (-112)Auxerre +0.25 · 1.81 (-124)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%31%36%41%Auxerre 32%Draw 29%Nice 39%
Asian handicap · Auxerre
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).