Sep 13, 2026 · 3:15 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lens opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-148) and shortened to 1.65 (-154). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Le Mans 20% → 19%, draw 23% → 23%, Lens 58% → 59%. The Asian handicap moved from Le Mans +0.75 to Le Mans +1. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Le Mans
4.90 (+390)
5.13 (+413)
Draw
4.24 (+324)
4.29 (+329)
Lens
1.68 (-148)
1.65 (-154)
Asian handicap
Le Mans +0.75 · 2.05 (+105)
Le Mans +1 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.87 (-115)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Le Mans
Total (over/under)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.