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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Le Mans vs Lens — odds movement

Sep 13, 2026 · 3:15 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lens opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-148) and shortened to 1.65 (-154). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Le Mans 20% → 19%, draw 23% → 23%, Lens 58% → 59%. The Asian handicap moved from Le Mans +0.75 to Le Mans +1. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Le Mans4.90 (+390)5.13 (+413)
Draw4.24 (+324)4.29 (+329)
Lens1.68 (-148)1.65 (-154)
Asian handicapLe Mans +0.75 · 2.05 (+105)Le Mans +1 · 1.85 (-117)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%29%48%66%Le Mans 19%Draw 23%Lens 59%
Asian handicap · Le Mans
+0.75+1+0.75 → +1
Total (over/under)
2.7533.252.75 → 3.25

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