Sep 13, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Lecce opened favored at 2.72 (+172), but by the last snapshot Monza was the favorite at 2.77 (+177). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lecce 36% → 33%, draw 31% → 32%, Monza 33% → 35%. The Asian handicap held at Lecce 0 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lecce
2.72 (+172)
2.99 (+199)
Draw
3.13 (+213)
3.02 (+202)
Monza
2.89 (+189)
2.77 (+177)
Asian handicap
Lecce 0 · 1.89 (-112)
Lecce 0 · 2.04 (+104)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)
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