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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Club Tijuana vs Queretaro — odds movement

Sep 12, 2026 · 3:10 AM UTC · 509 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 509 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 35 min before kickoff. Club Tijuana opened as the favorite at 1.96 (-104) and drifted to 1.99 (-101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Club Tijuana 48% → 49%, draw 28% → 28%, Queretaro 23% → 24%. The Asian handicap held at Club Tijuana -0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Club Tijuana went from 46% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Club Tijuana1.96 (-104)1.99 (-101)
Draw3.39 (+239)3.50 (+250)
Queretaro4.05 (+305)4.07 (+307)
Asian handicapClub Tijuana -0.5 · 1.97 (-103)Club Tijuana -0.5 · 1.99 (-101)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%30%42%55%Club Tijuana 49%Draw 28%Queretaro 24%
Asian handicap · Club Tijuana
-0.5-0.25-0.5 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).