Sep 12, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Pachuca opened as the favorite at 2.26 (+126) and drifted to 2.42 (+142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlante 31% → 31%, draw 27% → 28%, Pachuca 42% → 40%. The Asian handicap held at Atlante +0.25 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 12 h 10 min before kickoff: Pachuca went from 43% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Atlante
3.09 (+209)
3.08 (+208)
Draw
3.51 (+251)
3.40 (+240)
Pachuca
2.26 (+126)
2.42 (+142)
Asian handicap
Atlante +0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Atlante +0.25 · 1.83 (-120)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 2.5 · over 2.04 (+104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
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