Sep 16, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 40 h 40 min before kickoff. Deportivo Toluca opened as the favorite at 1.66 (-152) and shortened to 1.52 (-193). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Puebla 20% → 16%, draw 23% → 21%, Deportivo Toluca 57% → 63%. The Asian handicap moved from Puebla +0.75 to Puebla +1. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 19 h 50 min before kickoff: Deportivo Toluca went from 57% to 61% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Puebla
4.70 (+370)
6.05 (+505)
Draw
4.19 (+319)
4.68 (+368)
Deportivo Toluca
1.66 (-152)
1.52 (-193)
Asian handicap
Puebla +0.75 · 2.02 (+102)
Puebla +1 · 2.06 (+106)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104)
O/U 3 · over 2.00 (+100)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Puebla
Total (over/under)
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