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Le Mans vs Lorient — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lorient opened as the favorite at 2.66 (+166) and shortened to 2.57 (+157). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Le Mans 36% → 33%, draw 28% → 29%, Lorient 36% → 38%. The Asian handicap held at Le Mans 0 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Le Mans2.71 (+171)2.96 (+196)
Draw3.48 (+248)3.32 (+232)
Lorient2.66 (+166)2.57 (+157)
Asian handicapLe Mans 0 · 1.97 (-103)Le Mans 0 · 2.11 (+111)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.04 (+104)O/U 2.5 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%30%35%40%Le Mans 33%Draw 29%Lorient 38%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (0)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).