Sep 19, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Toulouse opened as the favorite at 1.75 (-133) and shortened to 1.68 (-146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Toulouse 55% → 58%, draw 25% → 23%, Le Havre 20% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Toulouse -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Toulouse
1.75 (-133)
1.68 (-146)
Draw
3.88 (+288)
4.15 (+315)
Le Havre
4.82 (+382)
5.10 (+410)
Asian handicap
Toulouse -0.75 · 1.99 (-101)
Toulouse -0.75 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.92 (-109)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
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