Sep 20, 2026 · 3:15 PM UTC · 644 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 644 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lille opened as the favorite at 2.10 (+110) and drifted to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nice 26% → 28%, draw 28% → 27%, Lille 46% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from Nice +0.5 to Nice +0.25. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before kickoff: Lille went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Nice
3.69 (+269)
3.42 (+242)
Draw
3.49 (+249)
3.54 (+254)
Lille
2.10 (+110)
2.21 (+121)
Asian handicap
Nice +0.5 · 1.82 (-122)
Nice +0.25 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.79 (-127)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Nice
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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