Sep 18, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Groningen opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.58 (-173). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Groningen 58% → 61%, draw 24% → 22%, PEC Zwolle 18% → 17%. The Asian handicap held at Groningen -1 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 19 h 35 min before kickoff: Groningen went from 58% to 60% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Groningen
1.64 (-156)
1.58 (-173)
Draw
3.98 (+298)
4.44 (+344)
PEC Zwolle
5.14 (+414)
5.60 (+460)
Asian handicap
Groningen -1 · 2.05 (+105)
Groningen -1 · 1.91 (-110)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.87 (-115)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.94 (-106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Groningen
Total (over/under)
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