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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Puebla vs Atlante — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Puebla opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and drifted to 2.44 (+144). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Puebla 44% → 40%, draw 27% → 28%, Atlante 28% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at Puebla -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Puebla went from 44% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Puebla2.15 (+115)2.44 (+144)
Draw3.48 (+248)3.48 (+248)
Atlante3.36 (+236)2.98 (+198)
Asian handicapPuebla -0.25 · 1.86 (-116)Puebla -0.25 · 2.11 (+111)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-117)O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%31%39%48%Puebla 40%Draw 28%Atlante 32%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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