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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

FC Juarez vs Tigres UANL — odds movement

Sep 19, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Tigres UANL opened as the favorite at 1.76 (-132) and drifted to 1.89 (-112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Juarez 21% → 22%, draw 25% → 27%, Tigres UANL 54% → 51%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Juarez +0.75 to FC Juarez +0.5. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 22 h 25 min before kickoff: Tigres UANL went from 54% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Juarez4.48 (+348)4.36 (+336)
Draw3.82 (+282)3.60 (+260)
Tigres UANL1.76 (-132)1.89 (-112)
Asian handicapFC Juarez +0.75 · 1.87 (-115)FC Juarez +0.5 · 2.01 (+101)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%30%45%60%FC Juarez 22%Draw 27%Tigres UANL 51%
Asian handicap · FC Juarez
+0.5+0.75+0.75 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).