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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul — odds movement

Sep 20, 2026 · 1:10 AM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 5 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Cruz Azul opened favored at 2.54 (+154), but by the last snapshot Monterrey was the favorite at 2.33 (+133). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monterrey 37% → 42%, draw 25% → 26%, Cruz Azul 37% → 32%. The Asian handicap moved from Monterrey 0 to Monterrey -0.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 41 h 45 min before kickoff: Cruz Azul went from 37% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Monterrey2.57 (+157)2.33 (+133)
Draw3.74 (+274)3.67 (+267)
Cruz Azul2.54 (+154)3.02 (+202)
Asian handicapMonterrey 0 · 1.93 (-107)Monterrey -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%38%46%Monterrey 42%Draw 26%Cruz Azul 32%
Asian handicap · Monterrey
-0.2500 → -0.25
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).