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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Pachuca vs Club Tijuana — odds movement

Sep 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Pachuca opened as the favorite at 1.80 (-125) and shortened to 1.68 (-146). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Pachuca 53% → 57%, draw 24% → 24%, Club Tijuana 23% → 19%. The Asian handicap held at Pachuca -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Pachuca went from 54% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Pachuca1.80 (-125)1.68 (-146)
Draw3.90 (+290)4.06 (+306)
Club Tijuana4.15 (+315)5.09 (+409)
Asian handicapPachuca -0.75 · 2.04 (+104)Pachuca -0.75 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
11%29%47%65%Pachuca 57%Draw 24%Club Tijuana 19%
Asian handicap · Pachuca
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).