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⚽ Soccer Mexico - Liga MX Final

Atlante vs Monterrey — odds movement

Sep 26, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Monterrey opened as the favorite at 2.02 (+102) and drifted to 2.32 (+132). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Atlante 27% → 32%, draw 26% → 27%, Monterrey 47% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Atlante +0.5 to Atlante +0.25. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 14 h 45 min before kickoff: Monterrey went from 47% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Atlante3.48 (+248)3.07 (+207)
Draw3.72 (+272)3.61 (+261)
Monterrey2.02 (+102)2.32 (+132)
Asian handicapAtlante +0.5 · 1.83 (-120)Atlante +0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.75 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%31%41%51%Atlante 32%Draw 27%Monterrey 42%
Asian handicap · Atlante
+0.25+0.5+0.5 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).