Scan with your phone camera Athletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras — odds movement
Oct 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 2.39 (+139) and shortened to 2.28 (+128). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Athletico Paranaense 32% → 30%, draw 28% → 28%, Palmeiras 40% → 42%. The Asian handicap held at Athletico Paranaense +0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 35 minutes before kickoff: Athletico Paranaense went from 32% to 30% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Athletico Paranaense | 2.94 (+194) | 3.28 (+228) |
| Draw | 3.47 (+247) | 3.46 (+246) |
| Palmeiras | 2.39 (+139) | 2.28 (+128) |
| Asian handicap | Athletico Paranaense +0.25 · 1.80 (-125) | Athletico Paranaense +0.25 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.96 (-104) | O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).