Gremio vs Cruzeiro — odds movement
Oct 18, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Cruzeiro opened as the favorite at 2.43 (+143) and shortened to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gremio 34% → 30%, draw 27% → 25%, Cruzeiro 39% → 45%. The Asian handicap moved from Gremio 0 to Gremio +0.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 40 min before kickoff: Cruzeiro went from 39% to 43% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Gremio | 2.84 (+184) | 3.22 (+222) |
| Draw | 3.52 (+252) | 3.90 (+290) |
| Cruzeiro | 2.43 (+143) | 2.14 (+114) |
| Asian handicap | Gremio 0 · 2.09 (+109) | Gremio +0.25 · 2.02 (+102) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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