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Gremio vs Cruzeiro — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Cruzeiro opened as the favorite at 2.43 (+143) and shortened to 2.14 (+114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gremio 34% → 30%, draw 27% → 25%, Cruzeiro 39% → 45%. The Asian handicap moved from Gremio 0 to Gremio +0.25. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 7 h 40 min before kickoff: Cruzeiro went from 39% to 43% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Gremio2.84 (+184)3.22 (+222)
Draw3.52 (+252)3.90 (+290)
Cruzeiro2.43 (+143)2.14 (+114)
Asian handicapGremio 0 · 2.09 (+109)Gremio +0.25 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%40%49%Gremio 30%Draw 25%Cruzeiro 45%
Asian handicap · Gremio
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).