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Corinthians vs Vitoria — odds movement

Oct 19, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Corinthians opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-160) and shortened to 1.52 (-191). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Corinthians 59% → 63%, draw 25% → 23%, Vitoria 17% → 13%. The Asian handicap moved from Corinthians -0.75 to Corinthians -1. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 12 h 60 min before kickoff: Corinthians went from 59% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Corinthians1.63 (-160)1.52 (-191)
Draw3.86 (+286)4.16 (+316)
Vitoria5.64 (+464)7.17 (+617)
Asian handicapCorinthians -0.75 · 1.82 (-122)Corinthians -1 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
4%27%50%72%Corinthians 63%Draw 23%Vitoria 13%
Asian handicap · Corinthians
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).