Scan with your phone camera Bahia vs Flamengo — odds movement
Oct 18, 2026 · 9:30 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 2.09 (+109) and shortened to 2.03 (+103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bahia 29% → 27%, draw 25% → 26%, Flamengo 46% → 48%. The Asian handicap moved from Bahia +0.25 to Bahia +0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 28 h 40 min before kickoff: Flamengo went from 45% to 43% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Bahia | 3.26 (+226) | 3.62 (+262) |
| Draw | 3.78 (+278) | 3.78 (+278) |
| Flamengo | 2.09 (+109) | 2.03 (+103) |
| Asian handicap | Bahia +0.25 · 2.02 (+102) | Bahia +0.5 · 1.87 (-115) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.81 (-124) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.87 (-115) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).