Oct 18, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Fluminense opened as the favorite at 2.27 (+127) and shortened to 2.17 (+117). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fluminense 42% → 45%, draw 28% → 27%, Santos 30% → 29%. The Asian handicap held at Fluminense -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 25 h 25 min before kickoff: Fluminense went from 41% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Fluminense
2.27 (+127)
2.17 (+117)
Draw
3.39 (+239)
3.60 (+260)
Santos
3.20 (+220)
3.39 (+239)
Asian handicap
Fluminense -0.25 · 1.96 (-104)
Fluminense -0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.03 (+103)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Fluminense
Total (over/under)
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