Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka — odds movement
Oct 18, 2026 · 4:00 PM JST · 505 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 505 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 40 min before kickoff. Machida Zelvia opened as the favorite at 1.85 (-117) and shortened to 1.82 (-122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Machida Zelvia 51% → 53%, draw 27% → 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 22% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at Machida Zelvia -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 4 h 45 min before kickoff: Machida Zelvia went from 52% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Machida Zelvia | 1.85 (-117) | 1.82 (-122) |
| Draw | 3.50 (+250) | 3.53 (+253) |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 4.39 (+339) | 4.91 (+391) |
| Asian handicap | Machida Zelvia -0.5 · 1.86 (-116) | Machida Zelvia -0.5 · 1.83 (-120) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.84 (-119) | O/U 2.25 · over 2.00 (+100) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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