Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers — odds movement
Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Kashima Antlers opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kyoto Sanga 23% → 25%, draw 26% → 26%, Kashima Antlers 51% → 49%. The Asian handicap held at Kyoto Sanga +0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 22 h 50 min before kickoff: Kashima Antlers went from 49% to 47% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Kyoto Sanga | 4.09 (+309) | 3.88 (+288) |
| Draw | 3.65 (+265) | 3.70 (+270) |
| Kashima Antlers | 1.87 (-115) | 1.97 (-103) |
| Asian handicap | Kyoto Sanga +0.5 · 1.97 (-103) | Kyoto Sanga +0.5 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 2.02 (+102) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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