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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima Antlers — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Kashima Antlers opened as the favorite at 1.87 (-115) and drifted to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kyoto Sanga 23% → 25%, draw 26% → 26%, Kashima Antlers 51% → 49%. The Asian handicap held at Kyoto Sanga +0.5 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.75 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 22 h 50 min before kickoff: Kashima Antlers went from 49% to 47% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kyoto Sanga4.09 (+309)3.88 (+288)
Draw3.65 (+265)3.70 (+270)
Kashima Antlers1.87 (-115)1.97 (-103)
Asian handicapKyoto Sanga +0.5 · 1.97 (-103)Kyoto Sanga +0.5 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%43%56%Kyoto Sanga 25%Draw 26%Kashima Antlers 49%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.5

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