V-Varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement
Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.48 (-209) and shortened to 1.43 (-232). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): V-Varen Nagasaki 16% → 14%, draw 20% → 19%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64% → 67%. The Asian handicap moved from V-Varen Nagasaki +1 to V-Varen Nagasaki +1.25. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| V-Varen Nagasaki | 5.84 (+484) | 6.79 (+579) |
| Draw | 4.79 (+379) | 5.20 (+420) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.48 (-209) | 1.43 (-232) |
| Asian handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki +1 · 2.06 (+106) | V-Varen Nagasaki +1.25 · 1.93 (-108) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.86 (-116) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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