Scan with your phone camera Shimizu S-Pulse vs Machida Zelvia — odds movement
Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Machida Zelvia opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and shortened to 2.07 (+107). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Shimizu S-Pulse 28% → 24%, draw 28% → 29%, Machida Zelvia 44% → 47%. The Asian handicap moved from Shimizu S-Pulse +0.25 to Shimizu S-Pulse +0.5. The total moved down from 2.25 to 2. The sharpest single move came 6 h 35 min before kickoff: Machida Zelvia went from 45% to 47% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 3.41 (+241) | 3.95 (+295) |
| Draw | 3.40 (+240) | 3.35 (+235) |
| Machida Zelvia | 2.16 (+116) | 2.07 (+107) |
| Asian handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse +0.25 · 1.99 (-101) | Shimizu S-Pulse +0.5 · 1.84 (-119) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.92 (-109) | O/U 2 · over 1.79 (-126) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).