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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Fagiano Okayama vs Mito HollyHock — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 482 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 482 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Fagiano Okayama opened as the favorite at 1.77 (-130) and drifted to 1.81 (-124). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fagiano Okayama 54% → 53%, draw 26% → 27%, Mito HollyHock 20% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at Fagiano Okayama -0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fagiano Okayama1.77 (-130)1.81 (-124)
Draw3.59 (+259)3.64 (+264)
Mito HollyHock4.76 (+376)4.83 (+383)
Asian handicapFagiano Okayama -0.75 · 2.02 (+102)Fagiano Okayama -0.75 · 2.07 (+107)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 2.25 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
13%29%45%61%Fagiano Okayama 53%Draw 27%Mito HollyHock 20%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.25

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