FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol — odds movement
Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and shortened to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Tokyo 44% → 48%, draw 27% → 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 29% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Tokyo -0.25 to FC Tokyo -0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 2 h 45 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 46% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| FC Tokyo | 2.16 (+116) | 2.01 (+101) |
| Draw | 3.55 (+255) | 3.74 (+274) |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 3.28 (+228) | 3.70 (+270) |
| Asian handicap | FC Tokyo -0.25 · 1.88 (-114) | FC Tokyo -0.5 · 2.02 (+102) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101) | O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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