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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol — odds movement

Oct 21, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and shortened to 2.01 (+101). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Tokyo 44% → 48%, draw 27% → 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 29% → 26%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Tokyo -0.25 to FC Tokyo -0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 2 h 45 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 46% to 48% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Tokyo2.16 (+116)2.01 (+101)
Draw3.55 (+255)3.74 (+274)
Kashiwa Reysol3.28 (+228)3.70 (+270)
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.25 · 1.88 (-114)FC Tokyo -0.5 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 2.01 (+101)O/U 2.75 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%32%42%52%FC Tokyo 48%Draw 26%Kashiwa Reysol 26%
Asian handicap · FC Tokyo
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.75 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).