Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. Kashima Antlers opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and shortened to 1.74 (-135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mito HollyHock 23% → 19%, draw 27% → 25%, Kashima Antlers 50% → 55%. The Asian handicap moved from Mito HollyHock +0.5 to Mito HollyHock +0.75. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 3 h 40 min before kickoff: Kashima Antlers went from 52% to 54% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Mito HollyHock
4.12 (+312)
5.05 (+405)
Draw
3.57 (+257)
3.80 (+280)
Kashima Antlers
1.93 (-107)
1.74 (-135)
Asian handicap
Mito HollyHock +0.5 · 1.94 (-106)
Mito HollyHock +0.75 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.05 (+105)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Mito HollyHock
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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