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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 4:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kawasaki Frontale opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and shortened to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kawasaki Frontale 52% → 55%, draw 24% → 24%, Nagoya Grampus 24% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Kawasaki Frontale -0.5 to Kawasaki Frontale -0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Kawasaki Frontale went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kawasaki Frontale1.83 (-120)1.77 (-130)
Draw3.89 (+289)4.09 (+309)
Nagoya Grampus3.99 (+299)4.40 (+340)
Asian handicapKawasaki Frontale -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)Kawasaki Frontale -0.75 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
14%30%47%63%Kawasaki Frontale 55%Draw 24%Nagoya Grampus 22%
Asian handicap · Kawasaki Frontale
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).