Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 4:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kawasaki Frontale opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and shortened to 1.77 (-130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kawasaki Frontale 52% → 55%, draw 24% → 24%, Nagoya Grampus 24% → 22%. The Asian handicap moved from Kawasaki Frontale -0.5 to Kawasaki Frontale -0.75. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 1 h 10 min before kickoff: Kawasaki Frontale went from 56% to 53% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kawasaki Frontale
1.83 (-120)
1.77 (-130)
Draw
3.89 (+289)
4.09 (+309)
Nagoya Grampus
3.99 (+299)
4.40 (+340)
Asian handicap
Kawasaki Frontale -0.5 · 1.84 (-119)
Kawasaki Frontale -0.75 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.84 (-119)
O/U 3 · over 2.06 (+106)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kawasaki Frontale
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.