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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds — odds movement

Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 501 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 501 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 50 min before kickoff. FC Tokyo opened as the favorite at 1.70 (-142) and drifted to 1.85 (-118). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Tokyo 56% → 52%, draw 23% → 24%, Urawa Red Diamonds 22% → 24%. The Asian handicap moved from FC Tokyo -0.75 to FC Tokyo -0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 1 h 15 min before kickoff: FC Tokyo went from 54% to 52% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Tokyo1.70 (-142)1.85 (-118)
Draw4.19 (+319)4.06 (+306)
Urawa Red Diamonds4.37 (+337)4.05 (+305)
Asian handicapFC Tokyo -0.75 · 1.91 (-110)FC Tokyo -0.5 · 1.85 (-117)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.75 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%31%47%62%FC Tokyo 52%Draw 24%Urawa Red Diamonds 24%
Asian handicap · FC Tokyo
-0.75-0.5-0.75 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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