Oct 9, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 493 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 493 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Kashiwa Reysol opened as the favorite at 2.17 (+117) and drifted to 2.27 (+127). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kashiwa Reysol 44% → 43%, draw 28% → 27%, Vissel Kobe 28% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Kashiwa Reysol -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 4 h 60 min before kickoff: Kashiwa Reysol went from 41% to 38% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Kashiwa Reysol
2.17 (+117)
2.27 (+127)
Draw
3.44 (+244)
3.52 (+252)
Vissel Kobe
3.35 (+235)
3.24 (+224)
Asian handicap
Kashiwa Reysol -0.25 · 1.88 (-114)
Kashiwa Reysol -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Kashiwa Reysol
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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