Mito HollyHock vs Shimizu S-Pulse — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Shimizu S-Pulse opened as the favorite at 2.67 (+167) and shortened to 2.61 (+161). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mito HollyHock 35% → 32%, draw 29% → 30%, Shimizu S-Pulse 36% → 37%. The Asian handicap held at Mito HollyHock 0 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 2 hours before kickoff: Mito HollyHock went from 36% to 34% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Mito HollyHock | 2.73 (+173) | 2.99 (+199) |
| Draw | 3.25 (+225) | 3.18 (+218) |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 2.67 (+167) | 2.61 (+161) |
| Asian handicap | Mito HollyHock 0 · 1.94 (-106) | Mito HollyHock 0 · 2.10 (+110) |
| Total | O/U 2.25 · over 1.84 (-119) | O/U 2.25 · over 2.04 (+104) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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