Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement
Oct 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-212) and shortened to 1.44 (-226). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Verdy 14% → 13%, draw 21% → 20%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64% → 67%. The Asian handicap moved from Tokyo Verdy +1 to Tokyo Verdy +1.25. The total stayed at 2.75.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Tokyo Verdy | 6.60 (+560) | 7.40 (+640) |
| Draw | 4.44 (+344) | 4.77 (+377) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.47 (-212) | 1.44 (-226) |
| Asian handicap | Tokyo Verdy +1 · 2.06 (+106) | Tokyo Verdy +1.25 · 1.89 (-113) |
| Total | O/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).