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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement

Oct 11, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.47 (-212) and shortened to 1.44 (-226). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Tokyo Verdy 14% → 13%, draw 21% → 20%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64% → 67%. The Asian handicap moved from Tokyo Verdy +1 to Tokyo Verdy +1.25. The total stayed at 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Tokyo Verdy6.60 (+560)7.40 (+640)
Draw4.44 (+344)4.77 (+377)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.47 (-212)1.44 (-226)
Asian handicapTokyo Verdy +1 · 2.06 (+106)Tokyo Verdy +1.25 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
3%28%52%77%Tokyo Verdy 13%Draw 20%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 67%
Asian handicap · Tokyo Verdy
+1+1.25+1 → +1.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)

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