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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.52 (-194) and drifted to 1.52 (-193). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63% → 63%, draw 21% → 20%, Nagoya Grampus 16% → 16%. The Asian handicap held at Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.52 (-194)1.52 (-193)
Draw4.61 (+361)4.78 (+378)
Nagoya Grampus6.00 (+500)5.89 (+489)
Asian handicapSanfrecce Hiroshima -1 · 1.85 (-118)Sanfrecce Hiroshima -1 · 1.83 (-121)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)O/U 3.25 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
7%29%51%73%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%Draw 20%Nagoya Grampus 16%
Asian handicap · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-1.25-1-1 → -1
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).