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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. Machida Zelvia opened as the favorite at 1.95 (-105) and shortened to 1.88 (-114). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Machida Zelvia 49% → 51%, draw 26% → 25%, Kawasaki Frontale 24% → 24%. The Asian handicap held at Machida Zelvia -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Machida Zelvia1.95 (-105)1.88 (-114)
Draw3.66 (+266)3.86 (+286)
Kawasaki Frontale3.93 (+293)4.11 (+311)
Asian handicapMachida Zelvia -0.5 · 1.96 (-104)Machida Zelvia -0.5 · 1.89 (-113)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Machida Zelvia 51%Draw 25%Kawasaki Frontale 24%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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