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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol — odds movement

Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. Kashiwa Reysol opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and drifted to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cerezo Osaka 29% → 30%, draw 27% → 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 45% → 44%. The Asian handicap held at Cerezo Osaka +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 2 h 40 min before kickoff: Kashiwa Reysol went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cerezo Osaka3.37 (+237)3.24 (+224)
Draw3.59 (+259)3.66 (+266)
Kashiwa Reysol2.16 (+116)2.21 (+121)
Asian handicapCerezo Osaka +0.25 · 2.01 (+101)Cerezo Osaka +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118)O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
22%32%41%50%Cerezo Osaka 30%Draw 26%Kashiwa Reysol 44%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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