Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol — odds movement
Sep 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 160 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 160 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 55 min before kickoff. Kashiwa Reysol opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and drifted to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cerezo Osaka 29% → 30%, draw 27% → 26%, Kashiwa Reysol 45% → 44%. The Asian handicap held at Cerezo Osaka +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 2 h 40 min before kickoff: Kashiwa Reysol went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Cerezo Osaka | 3.37 (+237) | 3.24 (+224) |
| Draw | 3.59 (+259) | 3.66 (+266) |
| Kashiwa Reysol | 2.16 (+116) | 2.21 (+121) |
| Asian handicap | Cerezo Osaka +0.25 · 2.01 (+101) | Cerezo Osaka +0.25 · 1.97 (-103) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-118) | O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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