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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Vissel Kobe vs V-Varen Nagasaki — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 203 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 203 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 10 min before kickoff. Vissel Kobe opened as the favorite at 1.69 (-145) and shortened to 1.61 (-163). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vissel Kobe 57% → 60%, draw 25% → 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 18% → 17%. The Asian handicap moved from Vissel Kobe -0.75 to Vissel Kobe -1. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5. The sharpest single move came 1 h 60 min before kickoff: Vissel Kobe went from 57% to 58% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Vissel Kobe1.69 (-145)1.61 (-163)
Draw3.80 (+280)4.08 (+308)
V-Varen Nagasaki5.33 (+433)5.81 (+481)
Asian handicapVissel Kobe -0.75 · 1.89 (-112)Vissel Kobe -1 · 2.10 (+110)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.5 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
9%28%48%68%Vissel Kobe 60%Draw 24%V-Varen Nagasaki 17%
Asian handicap · Vissel Kobe
-1-0.75-0.75 → -1
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.5

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