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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos — odds movement

Sep 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM JST · 203 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 203 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 17 h 10 min before kickoff. Kashiwa Reysol opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-146) and drifted to 1.74 (-135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Kashiwa Reysol 57% → 55%, draw 24% → 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 19% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Kashiwa Reysol -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 25 minutes before kickoff: Kashiwa Reysol went from 58% to 55% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Kashiwa Reysol1.68 (-146)1.74 (-135)
Draw4.04 (+304)4.05 (+305)
Yokohama F. Marinos4.98 (+398)4.65 (+365)
Asian handicapKashiwa Reysol -0.75 · 1.89 (-112)Kashiwa Reysol -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 2.75 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%30%47%65%Kashiwa Reysol 55%Draw 24%Yokohama F. Marinos 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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